Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.030053 0.032842 0.035593 0.038504 0.041492 0.044465 0.047643
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.024224 0.028720 0.033266 0.038181 0.043321 0.048520 0.054157
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019810 0.025402 0.031188 0.037556 0.044317 0.051236 0.058815
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.016620 0.023002 0.029747 0.037288 0.045390 0.053760 0.062998
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.014468 0.021502 0.029081 0.037665 0.046976 0.056664 0.067418
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011897 0.019323 0.027509 0.036915 0.047222 0.058027 0.070088
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.010088 0.017869 0.026630 0.036825 0.048092 0.059972 0.073293
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.008344 0.016353 0.025586 0.036469 0.048598 0.061461 0.075945
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.006708 0.014831 0.024447 0.035938 0.048850 0.062621 0.078190
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004821 0.012807 0.022619 0.034548 0.048091 0.062629 0.079143
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004254 0.012483 0.022785 0.035410 0.049808 0.065309 0.082952
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003599 0.011968 0.022684 0.035934 0.051122 0.067523 0.086230
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002410 0.010635 0.021655 0.035511 0.051533 0.068929 0.088842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001381 0.009347 0.020655 0.035132 0.052028 0.070472 0.091662
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000530 0.008005 0.019495 0.034514 0.052215 0.071646 0.094055
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.006976 0.018671 0.034252 0.052772 0.073199 0.096829
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006380 0.018389 0.034618 0.054026 0.075505 0.100404
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005245 0.017257 0.033889 0.053976 0.076322 0.102311
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004529 0.016668 0.033802 0.054647 0.077924 0.105061
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003748 0.015902 0.033456 0.054989 0.079134 0.107354
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002960 0.015032 0.032940 0.055103 0.080065 0.109317
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001923 0.013565 0.031591 0.054194 0.079809 0.109937
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001813 0.013763 0.032427 0.055886 0.082502 0.113828